Is it safe to climb Ill Bell today and tomorrow?

Today on Ill Bell is rated Marginal and tomorrow Marginal, from the summit forecast. Summit forecast updated 02:04, 18 Oct. The reasons are below, followed by what the rating can't tell you.

Is it safe to climb Ill Bell today?

Marginal Today Monday 19 October

• Wind and gusts: Summit wind up to 31 mph, gusting 39 mph. That is past the Marginal line (wind 25 mph or gusts 45 mph): expect to be pushed about on ridges and the summit.
• Rain: 30% chance of rain, about 0 mm in all.
• Cloud: Cloud cover averages 61% and humidity 92% at summit height. The forecast gives no cloud base height; the main peak page estimates one from the valley forecast.
• Temperature and wind chill: Up to 9°C at the summit, down to 3°C, feeling as cold as -2°C in the wind.
• Daylight: Sunrise 07:48, sunset 18:04: 10h 17m of daylight. The longest route listed here takes about 3h 10m there and back by Naismith's rule, before stops.

Is it safe to climb Ill Bell tomorrow?

Marginal Tomorrow Tuesday 20 October

• Wind and gusts: Summit wind up to 25 mph, gusting 31 mph. That is past the Marginal line (wind 25 mph or gusts 45 mph): expect to be pushed about on ridges and the summit.
• Rain: 69% chance of rain, about 9.7 mm in all. A 60% chance or more makes the day Marginal on its own: wet rock is slippery and wet kit chills you faster.
• Cloud: Cloud cover averages 77% and humidity 95% at summit height. Air that close to saturation means the top is likely to be in cloud, so plan to navigate by map and compass. The forecast gives no cloud base height; the main peak page estimates one from the valley forecast.
• Temperature and wind chill: Up to 8°C at the summit, down to 3°C, feeling as cold as 0°C in the wind.
• Daylight: Sunrise 07:49, sunset 18:02: 10h 13m of daylight. The longest route listed here takes about 3h 10m there and back by Naismith's rule, before stops.

Is it safe to climb Ill Bell this weekend?

Poor Saturday 24 October

• Wind and gusts: Summit wind up to 51 mph, gusting 63 mph. That is past the Poor line (wind 40 mph or gusts 65 mph), when walking on exposed ground is hard and a fall more likely.
• Rain: 77% chance of rain, about 8.6 mm in all. A 60% chance or more makes the day Marginal on its own: wet rock is slippery and wet kit chills you faster.
• Cloud: Cloud cover averages 75% and humidity 74% at summit height. The forecast gives no cloud base height; the main peak page estimates one from the valley forecast.
• Temperature and wind chill: Up to 5°C at the summit, down to 0°C, feeling as cold as -5°C in the wind. Below freezing at the summit, so expect ice on rock and paths, especially early.
• Daylight: Sunrise 07:57, sunset 17:53: 9h 56m of daylight. The longest route listed here takes about 3h 10m there and back by Naismith's rule, before stops.

Marginal Sunday 25 October

• Wind and gusts: Summit wind up to 38 mph, gusting 47 mph. That is past the Marginal line (wind 25 mph or gusts 45 mph): expect to be pushed about on ridges and the summit.
• Rain: 86% chance of rain, about 9.2 mm in all. A 60% chance or more makes the day Marginal on its own: wet rock is slippery and wet kit chills you faster.
• Cloud: Cloud cover averages 88% and humidity 91% at summit height. The forecast gives no cloud base height; the main peak page estimates one from the valley forecast.
• Temperature and wind chill: Up to 8°C at the summit, down to 0°C, feeling as cold as -2°C in the wind.
• Daylight: Sunrise 06:59, sunset 16:51: 9h 52m of daylight. The longest route listed here takes about 3h 10m there and back by Naismith's rule, before stops.

Weekend forecasts firm up during the week; check again the day before.

What the verdict covers, and what it doesn't

Peakify rates each day Good, Marginal or Poor from the forecast summit wind, gusts, chance of rain and wind chill. Wind of 40 mph or gusts of 65 mph make it Poor; wind of 25 mph, gusts of 45 mph, a 60% chance of rain or a feels-like temperature of -8°C or below make it Marginal. That is all it measures: the weather forecast at the summit.

It does not know your fitness or experience, whether you can navigate in cloud with a map and compass, or what you are carrying. It does not see the state of the path, river levels, snow and ice already on the ground, or how the forecast is changing during the day. A Good day can still go wrong if you start late, turn an ankle or lose the path in mist, and a Marginal day can be fine for an experienced party on the easiest route.

On any day, carry waterproofs, warm layers, a hat and gloves, food, water, a head torch and a charged phone, and know how you would navigate if the top is in cloud. Tell someone your route and when you expect to be down. In winter conditions you need an ice axe and crampons and the skill to use them, or a guide.

Route notes for Ill Bell

Kentmere via Garburn Pass and Yoke

From Kentmere village hall parking area. Follow the stony Garburn Pass track to the ridge, then climb north over Yoke to the summit cairns. Graded Moderate: a hill path, rough or rocky in places, below the Hard and Scramble grades. In cloud, take care to stay on the path. About 3h 10m there and back by Naismith's rule (5.2 km one way, 640 m of ascent).

Full distances, ascent and times are on the Ill Bell routes page.

In an emergency

Call 999, ask for the police and then mountain rescue. Mountain rescue teams in the UK are volunteers called out through the police. Give your location (a grid reference from a map or phone app if you can), what has happened, how many are in your group and your phone number, then keep the phone free. If you have no signal, try to move to higher ground or text 999; you need to have registered your phone with the emergencySMS service before for a text to work.

Questions about Ill Bell

Is it safe to climb Ill Bell today?

Today, Monday 19 October: overcast, up to 9°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -2°C, summit wind 31 mph gusting 39 mph, 30% chance of rain. Rated Marginal. The rating covers the summit weather only; your route, kit and experience matter as much.

Is it safe to climb Ill Bell tomorrow?

Tomorrow, Tuesday 20 October: dense drizzle, up to 8°C at the summit, feeling as cold as 0°C, summit wind 25 mph gusting 31 mph, 69% chance of rain. Rated Marginal.

How does Peakify decide whether Ill Bell is safe to climb?

Peakify rates each day Good, Marginal or Poor from the forecast summit wind, gusts, chance of rain and wind chill. Wind of 40 mph or gusts of 65 mph make it Poor; wind of 25 mph, gusts of 45 mph, a 60% chance of rain or a feels-like temperature of -8°C or below make it Marginal. It does not judge your fitness, kit, navigation or the state of the path.

Who do I call in an emergency on Ill Bell?

Call 999, ask for the police and then mountain rescue. Give your location (a grid reference if you can), what happened and how many are in your group. Stay with the casualty and keep them warm.