Waun Fach weather tomorrow, this weekend and 14-day summit forecast
811 m · Brecon Beacons
Waun Fach is the highest point of the Black Mountains in south-east Wales, a broad, boggy summit on the main ridge above Pengenffordd.
Waun Fach today (updated 19:11, 18 Oct): up to 6°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -2°C, summit wind 27 mph gusting 34 mph, 4% chance of rain. A marginal day for the hills.
Waun Fach weather today, tomorrow and this weekend
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Marginal Today Sunday 18 October
Mostly dry, up to 6°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -2°C, summit wind 27 mph gusting 34 mph, 4% chance of rain. Rated Marginal. Sunrise 07:42, sunset 18:12.
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Marginal Tomorrow Monday 19 October
Moderate rain, up to 7°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -1°C, summit wind 32 mph gusting 40 mph, 100% chance of rain. Rated Marginal. Sunrise 07:44, sunset 18:10.
Best day of the next seven: Sunday 18 October, with summit gusts around 34 mph and a 4% chance of rain. Peakify picks it as the day with the lightest gusts, after a penalty for any chance of rain over 40%.
Waun Fach 14-day summit weather forecast
Every day the cache holds from today, at summit height. Temperatures in °C, wind and gusts in mph, rain as the day's highest chance. Days 8 to 14 are marked less certain: forecasts lose skill quickly beyond a week, so read them as a trend.
| Day | Verdict | Weather | High / low | Feels like | Wind / gust | Rain | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | Marginal | Moderate drizzle | 6° / 2° | -2° | 27 / 34 mph | 4% | — |
| Tomorrow | Marginal | Moderate rain | 7° / 3° | -1° | 32 / 40 mph | 100% | — |
| Tue 20 Oct | Marginal | Slight rain | 6° / -3° | -5° | 19 / 23 mph | 88% | — |
| Wed 21 Oct | Poor | Slight rain | 4° / -3° | -6° | 43 / 54 mph | 73% | — |
| Thu 22 Oct | Marginal | Slight rain | 7° / -1° | -4° | 31 / 39 mph | 88% | — |
| Fri 23 Oct | Poor | Moderate rain | 4° / 1° | -8° | 61 / 76 mph | 94% | — |
| Sat 24 Oct | Poor | Light drizzle | 10° / 1° | -3° | 46 / 57 mph | 60% | — |
| Days 8 to 14: less certain | |||||||
| Sun 25 Oct | Poor (less certain) | Light drizzle | 10° / 2° | -4° | 47 / 59 mph | 61% | — |
| Mon 26 Oct | Poor (less certain) | Dense drizzle | 11° / 2° | -4° | 55+ / 75+ mph | 61% | — |
| Tue 27 Oct | Poor (less certain) | Dense drizzle | 11° / 3° | -3° | 55+ / 75+ mph | 65% | — |
| Wed 28 Oct | Marginal (less certain) | Light drizzle | 7° / 2° | -3° | 39 / 49 mph | 44% | — |
| Thu 29 Oct | Poor (less certain) | Light drizzle | 8° / 2° | 0° | 50 / 62 mph | 25% | — |
| Fri 30 Oct | Poor (less certain) | Slight rain showers | 11° / 6° | 2° | 50 / 63 mph | 29% | — |
| Sat 31 Oct | Marginal (less certain) | Light drizzle | 10° / 1° | -2° | 35 / 43 mph | 37% | — |
The cached forecast has no freezing level; snow is the model's summit snowfall for the day.
How the Waun Fach summit forecast is made
The numbers come from the Open-Meteo weather model for the summit's position at 811 m, in the mountain's local time. A valley forecast would understate the summit badly, so the wind is worked out at summit height from the model's upper-air winds: the standard 10 m wind sits over the model's smoothed ground and is roughly half what an exposed top gets.
Peakify rates each day Good, Marginal or Poor from the forecast summit wind, gusts, chance of rain and wind chill. Wind of 40 mph or gusts of 65 mph make it Poor; wind of 25 mph, gusts of 45 mph, a 60% chance of rain or a feels-like temperature of -8°C or below make it Marginal. The verdict is the same one shown on the main peak page and in the Peakify app.
"Feels like" is the coldest apparent temperature of the day, which combines air temperature, wind and humidity. On a windy summit it can be well below the air temperature, so pack for that figure, not the high.
For a second opinion before a big day, read the Met Office mountain forecast or MWIS for the area. They are written by forecasters and cover hazards such as cloud on the tops and visibility that a model table can't.
Questions about Waun Fach
What is the Waun Fach weather tomorrow?
Monday 19 October: moderate rain, up to 7°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -1°C, summit wind 32 mph gusting 40 mph, 100% chance of rain. Rated Marginal.
What is the Waun Fach weather this weekend?
Sunday 18 October: mostly dry, up to 6°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -2°C, summit wind 27 mph gusting 34 mph, 4% chance of rain. Rated Marginal.
Is there a 14-day Waun Fach weather forecast?
Yes. This page lists up to 14 days of summit weather for Waun Fach, each with a Good, Marginal or Poor verdict. Days 8 to 14 are less certain: use them to spot a settled or stormy spell, not to plan a day.
Where does the Waun Fach summit forecast come from?
From the Open-Meteo weather model for the summit's position at 811 m, refreshed every few hours. Wind is worked out at summit height from the model's upper-air winds, because the standard 10 m wind is roughly half what a summit gets.