Yr Elen weather tomorrow, this weekend and 14-day summit forecast

962 m · Snowdonia

Yr Elen is a pointed Carneddau summit on a spur north-west of Carnedd Llewelyn, above Cwm Llafar and the village of Gerlan.

Yr Elen today (updated 19:10, 18 Oct): up to 4°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -4°C, summit wind 25 mph gusting 32 mph, 21% chance of rain. A marginal day for the hills.

Yr Elen weather today, tomorrow and this weekend

  • Marginal Today Sunday 18 October

    Overcast, up to 4°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -4°C, summit wind 25 mph gusting 32 mph, 21% chance of rain. Rated Marginal. Sunrise 07:48, sunset 18:14.

  • Marginal Tomorrow Monday 19 October

    Moderate drizzle, up to 6°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -3°C, summit wind 36 mph gusting 45 mph, 73% chance of rain. Rated Marginal. Sunrise 07:49, sunset 18:11.

Best day of the next seven: Sunday 18 October, with summit gusts around 32 mph and a 21% chance of rain. Peakify picks it as the day with the lightest gusts, after a penalty for any chance of rain over 40%.

Yr Elen 14-day summit weather forecast

Every day the cache holds from today, at summit height. Temperatures in °C, wind and gusts in mph, rain as the day's highest chance. Days 8 to 14 are marked less certain: forecasts lose skill quickly beyond a week, so read them as a trend.

DayVerdictWeatherHigh / lowFeels likeWind / gustRainSnow
Today Marginal Overcast 4° / 0° -4° 25 / 32 mph 21% —
Tomorrow Marginal Moderate drizzle 6° / 3° -3° 36 / 45 mph 73% —
Tue 20 Oct Marginal Moderate drizzle 5° / -1° -4° 22 / 28 mph 78% —
Wed 21 Oct Poor Moderate rain 3° / -5° -8° 40 / 50 mph 83% —
Thu 22 Oct Marginal A dusting of snow 5° / -4° -8° 23 / 29 mph 78% —
Fri 23 Oct Poor Moderate rain 3° / -1° -5° 46 / 57 mph 90% —
Sat 24 Oct Poor Moderate drizzle 8° / -1° -4° 53 / 66 mph 75% —
Days 8 to 14: less certain
Sun 25 Oct Poor (less certain) A dusting of snow 6° / 1° -5° 55+ / 71+ mph 72% —
Mon 26 Oct Poor (less certain) Slight rain showers 8° / 0° -5° 55+ / 75+ mph 67% —
Tue 27 Oct Poor (less certain) Slight rain showers 9° / 0° -4° 55+ / 75+ mph 65% —
Wed 28 Oct Poor (less certain) Light drizzle 5° / 0° -4° 42 / 52 mph 54% —
Thu 29 Oct Poor (less certain) Slight rain 7° / 1° -2° 55+ / 75+ mph 47% —
Fri 30 Oct Poor (less certain) Moderate rain showers 9° / 1° 0° 55+ / 75+ mph 45% —
Sat 31 Oct Poor (less certain) Light drizzle 5° / 0° -3° 42 / 52 mph 45% —

The cached forecast has no freezing level; snow is the model's summit snowfall for the day.

How the Yr Elen summit forecast is made

The numbers come from the Open-Meteo weather model for the summit's position at 962 m, in the mountain's local time. A valley forecast would understate the summit badly, so the wind is worked out at summit height from the model's upper-air winds: the standard 10 m wind sits over the model's smoothed ground and is roughly half what an exposed top gets.

Peakify rates each day Good, Marginal or Poor from the forecast summit wind, gusts, chance of rain and wind chill. Wind of 40 mph or gusts of 65 mph make it Poor; wind of 25 mph, gusts of 45 mph, a 60% chance of rain or a feels-like temperature of -8°C or below make it Marginal. The verdict is the same one shown on the main peak page and in the Peakify app.

"Feels like" is the coldest apparent temperature of the day, which combines air temperature, wind and humidity. On a windy summit it can be well below the air temperature, so pack for that figure, not the high.

For a second opinion before a big day, read the Met Office mountain forecast or MWIS for the area. They are written by forecasters and cover hazards such as cloud on the tops and visibility that a model table can't.

Questions about Yr Elen

What is the Yr Elen weather tomorrow?

Monday 19 October: moderate drizzle, up to 6°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -3°C, summit wind 36 mph gusting 45 mph, 73% chance of rain. Rated Marginal.

What is the Yr Elen weather this weekend?

Sunday 18 October: overcast, up to 4°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -4°C, summit wind 25 mph gusting 32 mph, 21% chance of rain. Rated Marginal.

Is there a 14-day Yr Elen weather forecast?

Yes. This page lists up to 14 days of summit weather for Yr Elen, each with a Good, Marginal or Poor verdict. Days 8 to 14 are less certain: use them to spot a settled or stormy spell, not to plan a day.

Where does the Yr Elen summit forecast come from?

From the Open-Meteo weather model for the summit's position at 962 m, refreshed every few hours. Wind is worked out at summit height from the model's upper-air winds, because the standard 10 m wind is roughly half what a summit gets.