Is it safe to climb Great Gable today and tomorrow?

Today on Great Gable is rated Good and tomorrow Poor, from the summit forecast. Summit forecast updated 19:10, 18 Oct. The reasons are below, followed by what the rating can't tell you.

Is it safe to climb Great Gable today?

Good Today Sunday 18 October

• Wind and gusts: Summit wind up to 17 mph, gusting 21 mph. That is under the Marginal line of 25 mph wind or 45 mph gusts.
• Rain: 0% chance of rain, about 0 mm in all.
• Cloud: Cloud cover averages 12% and humidity 80% at summit height. The forecast gives no cloud base height; the main peak page estimates one from the valley forecast.
• Temperature and wind chill: Up to 6°C at the summit, down to -2°C, feeling as cold as -5°C in the wind. Below freezing at the summit, so expect ice on rock and paths, especially early.
• Daylight: Sunrise 07:47, sunset 18:08: 10h 21m of daylight. The longest route listed here takes about 4h 30m there and back by Naismith's rule, before stops.

Is it safe to climb Great Gable tomorrow?

Poor Tomorrow Monday 19 October

• Wind and gusts: Summit wind up to 42 mph, gusting 53 mph. That is past the Poor line (wind 40 mph or gusts 65 mph), when walking on exposed ground is hard and a fall more likely.
• Rain: 51% chance of rain, about 2.6 mm in all.
• Cloud: Cloud cover averages 61% and humidity 91% at summit height. The forecast gives no cloud base height; the main peak page estimates one from the valley forecast.
• Temperature and wind chill: Up to 7°C at the summit, down to 1°C, feeling as cold as -3°C in the wind.
• Daylight: Sunrise 07:49, sunset 18:06: 10h 17m of daylight. The longest route listed here takes about 4h 30m there and back by Naismith's rule, before stops.

What the verdict covers, and what it doesn't

Peakify rates each day Good, Marginal or Poor from the forecast summit wind, gusts, chance of rain and wind chill. Wind of 40 mph or gusts of 65 mph make it Poor; wind of 25 mph, gusts of 45 mph, a 60% chance of rain or a feels-like temperature of -8°C or below make it Marginal. That is all it measures: the weather forecast at the summit.

It does not know your fitness or experience, whether you can navigate in cloud with a map and compass, or what you are carrying. It does not see the state of the path, river levels, snow and ice already on the ground, or how the forecast is changing during the day. A Good day can still go wrong if you start late, turn an ankle or lose the path in mist, and a Marginal day can be fine for an experienced party on the easiest route.

On any day, carry waterproofs, warm layers, a hat and gloves, food, water, a head torch and a charged phone, and know how you would navigate if the top is in cloud. Tell someone your route and when you expect to be down. In winter conditions you need an ice axe and crampons and the skill to use them, or a guide.

Route notes for Great Gable

Honister Pass via Green Gable

From Honister Pass (slate mine car park). You follow the fence-post line over Grey Knotts and Brandreth to Green Gable, drop to Windy Gap, then climb a steep boulder path to the summit. Graded Moderate: a hill path, rough or rocky in places, below the Hard and Scramble grades. In cloud, take care to stay on the path. About 2h 40m there and back by Naismith's rule (4.1 km one way, 621 m of ascent).

Wasdale Head via Sty Head

From Wasdale Head (National Trust car park). A valley path climbs to the stretcher box at Sty Head, then the Breast Route goes up loose, eroded ground on the south-east side. Graded Moderate: a hill path, rough or rocky in places, below the Hard and Scramble grades. In cloud, take care to stay on the path. About 3h 35m there and back by Naismith's rule (5.6 km one way, 828 m of ascent).

Seathwaite via Styhead Tarn

From Seathwaite, Borrowdale. You walk up Grains Gill side by Stockley Bridge to Styhead Tarn and Sty Head, then join the Breast Route for the final climb. Graded Moderate: a hill path, rough or rocky in places, below the Hard and Scramble grades. In cloud, take care to stay on the path. About 3h 5m there and back by Naismith's rule (4.6 km one way, 765 m of ascent).

Seatoller via Stockley Bridge and Windy Gap

From Seatoller National Trust car park. A hard mountain walk to the summit from Seatoller National Trust car park. Graded Hard: steeper, rougher or longer than the moderate routes, with more time on high, exposed ground. About 4h 30m there and back by Naismith's rule (7.9 km one way, 810 m of ascent).

Wasdale via Beck Head

From Lake Head National Trust car park, Wasdale. A hard mountain walk to the summit from Lake Head National Trust car park, Wasdale. Graded Hard: steeper, rougher or longer than the moderate routes, with more time on high, exposed ground. About 3h 35m there and back by Naismith's rule (5.4 km one way, 840 m of ascent).

Full distances, ascent and times are on the Great Gable routes page.

In an emergency

Call 999, ask for the police and then mountain rescue. Mountain rescue teams in the UK are volunteers called out through the police. Give your location (a grid reference from a map or phone app if you can), what has happened, how many are in your group and your phone number, then keep the phone free. If you have no signal, try to move to higher ground or text 999; you need to have registered your phone with the emergencySMS service before for a text to work.

Questions about Great Gable

Is it safe to climb Great Gable today?

Today, Sunday 18 October: partly cloudy, up to 6°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -5°C, summit wind 17 mph gusting 21 mph, 0% chance of rain. Rated Good. The rating covers the summit weather only; your route, kit and experience matter as much.

Is it safe to climb Great Gable tomorrow?

Tomorrow, Monday 19 October: dense drizzle, up to 7°C at the summit, feeling as cold as -3°C, summit wind 42 mph gusting 53 mph, 51% chance of rain. Rated Poor.

How does Peakify decide whether Great Gable is safe to climb?

Peakify rates each day Good, Marginal or Poor from the forecast summit wind, gusts, chance of rain and wind chill. Wind of 40 mph or gusts of 65 mph make it Poor; wind of 25 mph, gusts of 45 mph, a 60% chance of rain or a feels-like temperature of -8°C or below make it Marginal. It does not judge your fitness, kit, navigation or the state of the path.

Who do I call in an emergency on Great Gable?

Call 999, ask for the police and then mountain rescue. Give your location (a grid reference if you can), what happened and how many are in your group. Stay with the casualty and keep them warm.