Cloud inversion forecast: Wales

A cloud inversion traps fog in the valleys while summits sit in clear air and sunshine — the “sea of clouds” hillwalkers and photographers chase. Peakify analyses humidity, temperature profiles and cloud layers for every peak in the AI Mountain Explorer and scores the chance of an inversion. The mountains below currently have the best odds of putting you above the cloud.

Last analysed 18 Oct 2026. Best conditions are usually calm, clear nights after damp days — check each peak’s full forecast and sunrise time before an early start.

Best bet today · Sun 18 Oct
Cyrniau Nod
666m · Bala to Welshpool
84%
Excellent Best at 04:00 Sunrise 07:45 High confidence

Good setup: warm air at summit height, wind at summit height, summit above the cloud. Be on top before 07:45.

Mountain Elevation Today Next 7 days
Cyrniau Nod Bala to Welshpool 666m 84% Excellent
Garn Gron South-West Wales 541m 83% Excellent
Fan Foel Brecon Beacons 781m 78% Excellent
Picws Du Brecon Beacons 749m 71% Excellent
Waun Rydd Brecon Beacons 769m 67% Good
Waun Fach Brecon Beacons 811m 66% Good
Craig Gwaun Taf Brecon Beacons 826m 63% Good
Cribyn Brecon Beacons 795m 55% Good
Pen y Fan Brecon Beacons 886m 55% Good
Fan Hir Brecon Beacons 760m 53% Good
Pen y Gadair Fawr Brecon Beacons 800m 53% Good
Corn Du Brecon Beacons 872m 40% Possible
Garnedd Uchaf Snowdonia 925m 29% Unlikely
Tryfan Snowdonia 918m 28% Unlikely
Pen yr Ole Wen Snowdonia 978m 26% Unlikely
Elidir Fawr Snowdonia 924m 25% Unlikely
Foel Grach Snowdonia 975m 25% Unlikely
Foel-fras Snowdonia 944m 23% Unlikely
Carnedd Dafydd Snowdonia 1,044m 22% Unlikely
Carnedd Llewelyn Snowdonia 1,064m 21% Unlikely
Castell y Gwynt Snowdonia 972m 19% Unlikely
Crib y Ddysgl Snowdonia 1,065m 19% Unlikely
Glyder Fach Snowdonia 994m 19% Unlikely
Clawdd Coch Eryri (Snowdonia) 931m 18% Unlikely
Crib Goch Snowdonia 923m 17% Unlikely
Glyder Fawr Snowdonia 1,001m 17% Unlikely
Y Garn Snowdonia 947m 17% Unlikely
Carnedd Fach Eryri (Snowdonia) 960m 16% Unlikely
Yr Elen Snowdonia 962m 13% Unlikely
Yr Wyddfa - Snowdon Snowdonia 1,085m 13% Unlikely

Peaks in Wales

571 summits, the highest 200 shown. A dash means no inversion score in the last 36 hours: open the peak to run one. See all Wales peaks.

Yr Wyddfa - Snowdon 1,085m Snowdonia 13% Unlikely
Crib y Ddysgl 1,065m Snowdonia 19% Unlikely
Carnedd Llewelyn 1,064m Snowdonia 21% Unlikely
Carnedd Dafydd 1,044m Snowdonia 22% Unlikely
Glyder Fawr 1,001m Snowdonia 17% Unlikely
Glyder Fach 994m Snowdonia 19% Unlikely
Pen yr Ole Wen 978m Snowdonia 26% Unlikely
Foel Grach 975m Snowdonia 25% Unlikely
Castell y Gwynt 972m Snowdonia 19% Unlikely
Yr Elen 962m Snowdonia 13% Unlikely
Carnedd Fach 960m Eryri (Snowdonia) 16% Unlikely
Y Garn 947m Snowdonia 17% Unlikely
Foel-fras 944m Snowdonia 23% Unlikely
Clawdd Coch 931m Eryri (Snowdonia) 18% Unlikely
Garnedd Uchaf 925m Snowdonia 29% Unlikely
Elidir Fawr 924m Snowdonia 25% Unlikely
Crib Goch 923m Snowdonia 17% Unlikely
Tryfan 918m Snowdonia 28% Unlikely
Aran Fawddwy 906m Snowdonia —
Y Lliwedd 898m Snowdonia —
Cadair Idris 893m Barmouth to Betws-y-Coed and Bala —
Y Lliwedd East Top 893m Snowdonia —
Pen y Fan 886m Brecon Beacons 55% Good
Aran Benllyn 885m Snowdonia —
Corn Du 872m Brecon Beacons 40% Possible
Erw y Ddafad-ddu 872m Bala to Welshpool —
Moel Siabod 872m Snowdonia —
Mynydd Moel 863m Snowdonia —
Arenig Fawr 854m Snowdonia —
Llwytmor 849m Snowdonia —
Pen-aran 840m Bala to Welshpool —
Arenig Fawr South Top 837m Snowdonia —
Pen yr Helgi Du 833m Snowdonia —
Cadair Berwyn 832m Powys —
Foel-goch 831m Snowdonia —
Tryfan Far South Peak 831m Snowdonia —
Moel Sych 827m Powys —
Cadair Berwyn North Top 826m Denbighshire —
Craig Gwaun Taf 826m Brecon Beacons 63% Good
Carnedd y Filiast 821m Snowdonia —
Lliwedd Bach 819m Snowdonia —
Moel Llechwedd 817m Snowdonia —
Mynydd Perfedd 813m Snowdonia —
Cyfrwy 811m Snowdonia —
Waun Fach 811m Brecon Beacons 66% Good
Bera Bach 807m Snowdonia —
Y Foel Goch 805m Snowdonia —
Fan Brycheiniog - Twr y Fan Foel 803m Carmarthen to Vale of Neath —
Fan Brycheiniog - Trig Point 802m Llandovery to Monmouth —
Pen y Gadair Fawr 800m Brecon Beacons 53% Good
Foel Meirch 799m Snowdonia —
Pen Llithrig y Wrach 799m Snowdonia —
Cribyn 795m Brecon Beacons 55% Good
Bera Mawr 794m Snowdonia —
Craig Cwm Amarch 792m Snowdonia —
Craig Berwyn 790m Wrexham —
Moel Hebog 784m Snowdonia —
Cadair Bronwen 783m Denbighshire —
Fan Foel 781m Brecon Beacons 78% Excellent
Glasgwm 779m Snowdonia —
Drum 771m Snowdonia —
Moelwyn Mawr 770m Snowdonia —
Waun Rydd 769m Brecon Beacons 67% Good
Mynydd Pencoed 766m Snowdonia —
Gallt yr Ogof 763m Snowdonia —
Fan Hir 760m Brecon Beacons 53% Good
Drosgl 757m Snowdonia —
Y Llethr 756m Snowdonia —
Bwlch y Ddwyallt 754m Brecon Beacons —
Pumlumon Fawr 752m Ceredigion —
Moel Llyfnant 751m Snowdonia —
Diffwys 750m Snowdonia —
Picws Du 749m Brecon Beacons 71% Excellent
Yr Aran 747m Snowdonia —
Pen Pumlumon Arwystli 741m Ceredigion —
Tomle 741m Powys —
Craig Eigiau 735m Snowdonia —
Craig Cwm Silyn 734m Snowdonia —
Fan Fawr 734m Brecon Beacons —
Rhobell Fawr 734m Snowdonia —
Gwaun Cerrig Llwydion 730m Brecon Beacons —
Pen Pumlumon Llygad-bychan 727m Carmarthen to Vale of Neath —
Fan Gyhirych 726m Brecon Beacons —
Moel Eilio 726m Snowdonia —
Pen Pumlumon Llygad-bychan 724m Aberystwyth to Welshpool —
Carnedd y Filiast North Top 720m Snowdonia —
Llechog 720m Snowdonia —
Pen Allt-mawr 720m Llandovery to Monmouth —
Rhinog Fawr 720m Snowdonia —
Cynefin Bryn Blew 719m Snowdonia —
Fan y Big 717m Brecon Beacons —
Arenig Fawr South Ridge Top 714m Snowdonia —
Rhos Dirion 713m Brecon Beacons —
Moelwyn Bach 712m Snowdonia —
Rhinog Fach 712m Snowdonia —
Trum y Ddysgl 710m Snowdonia —
Black Mountain 704m Brecon Beacons —
Twyn Tal-y-cefn 702m Llandovery to Monmouth —
Pen Cerrig-calch 701m Llandovery to Monmouth —
Cadair Bronwen NE Top 700m Wrexham —
Garnedd-goch 700m Snowdonia —
Allt-fawr 698m Snowdonia —
Mynydd Mawr 698m Snowdonia —
Moel yr Ewig 695m Powys —
Mynydd Drws-y-coed 695m Snowdonia —
Cnicht 691m Snowdonia —
Foel Wen 691m Powys —
Cnicht North Top 690m Snowdonia —
Craig Lwyd 690m Snowdonia —
Craigysgafn 690m Snowdonia —
Twmpa 690m Brecon Beacons —
Arenig Fach 689m Snowdonia —
Foel Hafod-fynydd 689m Bala to Welshpool —
Foel Wen South Top 688m Powys —
Carnedd y Ddelw 686m Snowdonia —
Gwaun y Llwyni 686m Snowdonia —
Mynydd Gwerngraig 686m Snowdonia —
Pen y Brynfforchog 685m Snowdonia —
Gau Graig 684m Snowdonia —
Y Garn 684m Ceredigion —
Moel Poethion 682m Powys —
Crib-y-rhiw 681m Barmouth to Betws-y-Coed and Bala —
Pen Cerrig Tewion 680m Ceredigion —
Chwarel y Fan 679m Brecon Beacons —
Godor 679m Powys —
Maesglase 679m Snowdonia —
Mynydd Tarw 679m Wrexham —
Hay Bluff 677m Brecon Beacons —
Creigiau Gleision 676m Snowdonia —
Moel Druman 676m Snowdonia —
Waun Lefrith 676m Brecon Beacons —
Godor North Top 675m Powys —
Maesglase - Maen Du 675m Dolgellau to Machynlleth —
Moel Cynghorion 674m Snowdonia —
Carreg y Diocyn 673m Snowdonia —
Ysgafell Wen 672m Snowdonia —
Esgeiriau Gwynion 670m Snowdonia —
Waun-oer 670m Dolgellau to Machynlleth —
Carnedd y Filiast 669m Snowdonia —
Ysgafell Wen North Top 669m Snowdonia —
Fan Fraith 668m Brecon Beacons —
Foel Cedig 668m Snowdonia —
Tarren y Gesail 667m Snowdonia —
Cyrniau Nod 666m Bala to Welshpool 84% Excellent
Post Gwyn 665m Snowdonia —
Pumlumon Fach 664m Ceredigion —
Dduallt 663m Snowdonia —
Fan Nedd 663m Brecon Beacons —
Mynydd Llysiau 663m Brecon Beacons —
Craig-las 661m Dolgellau to Machynlleth —
Manod Mawr 661m Snowdonia —
Great Rhos 660m Powys —
Cribin Fawr 659m Snowdonia —
Foel Rhudd 659m Snowdonia —
Y Groes Fagl 659m Snowdonia —
Ysgafell Wen Far North Top 659m Snowdonia —
Manod Mawr North Top 658m Snowdonia —
Pen Twyn Mawr 658m Brecon Beacons —
Moel yr Ogof 655m Snowdonia —
Pen y Brynfforchog North Top 655m Snowdonia —
Allt Lwyd 653m Brecon Beacons —
Mynydd Tal-y-mignedd 653m Snowdonia —
Waun Garnedd-y-Filiast 651m Barmouth to Betws-y-Coed and Bala —
Black Mixen 650m Powys —
Moelwyn Mawr North Ridge Top 650m Snowdonia —
Foel Cwm-Sian Llwyd 648m Bala to Welshpool —
Moel-yr-hydd 648m Barmouth to Betws-y-Coed and Bala —
Great Creigiau 646m Powys —
Pen Twyn Glas 646m Brecon Beacons —
Drygarn Fawr 645m Powys —
Carnedd Llechwedd-llyfn 644m Barmouth to Betws-y-Coed and Bala —
Pen y Boncyn Trefeilw 644m Snowdonia —
Bryn Gwyn 643m Snowdonia —
Diffwys West Top 643m Snowdonia —
Gyrn Wigau 643m Snowdonia —
Moel Lefn 638m Snowdonia —
Black Mountain South Top 637m Brecon Beacons —
Clogwyn Llech Lefn 637m Snowdonia —
Garreg Las 635m Llandovery to Monmouth —
Tarrenhendre 634m Snowdonia —
Y Garn 633m Snowdonia —
Creigiau Gleision North Top 632m Snowdonia —
Fan Llia 632m Brecon Beacons —
Gwaun Lydan 632m Snowdonia —
Moel Fferna 630m Denbighshire —
Pen yr Allt Uchaf 630m Snowdonia —
Stac Rhos 630m Snowdonia —
Craig Cerrig-gleisiad 629m Carmarthen to Vale of Neath —
Foel Gron 629m Snowdonia —
Y Garn 629m Snowdonia —
Fan Frynych 628m Brecon Beacons —
Moel Penamnen 628m Snowdonia —
Foel y Geifr 626m Snowdonia —
Moel y Cerrig Duon 625m Snowdonia —
Pen y Castell 624m Snowdonia —
Moel Ysgyfarnogod 623m Snowdonia —
Carnfachbugeilyn 622m Powys —
Craiglwyn 622m Snowdonia —
Craig-y-llyn 622m Dolgellau to Machynlleth —
Waun Camddwr 622m Snowdonia —

What is a cloud inversion?

Normally the air gets colder as you climb. In a temperature inversion a layer of warm air sits on top of cold, damp air in the valleys, so fog and low cloud are trapped below and the summits stand in sunshine above a sea of cloud. Inversions are most likely after a calm, clear night following a damp day, often in autumn and winter, and they usually burn off by late morning, so go early.

How a cloud inversion forms

ColderWarmer Height

After a damp day the wind has dropped and the sky has cleared. The air in the valleys still holds plenty of moisture.

What if…

A sea of cloud is likely: calm, clear and damp.

Read it step by step
  1. A calm, clear evening. After a damp day the wind has dropped and the sky has cleared. The air in the valleys still holds plenty of moisture.
  2. Heat escapes to the sky. With no cloud overhead to act as a blanket, the ground radiates its warmth straight out to space, and the air touching it starts to chill.
  3. Cold air drains downhill. Chilled air is denser than the air around it, so it slides down the slopes like water and gathers on the valley floor.
  4. The inversion forms. A pool of cold air now fills the valleys with milder air above it. Normally it gets colder as you climb; tonight it gets warmer. That flip is the temperature inversion.
  5. Mist over the water. Lakes and wet ground give the cold air the last bit of moisture it needs, so wisps of mist form there first. If you are going up, this is when to set off, by head torch.
  6. Fog fills the valleys. The trapped air keeps cooling until it reaches its dew point. Its moisture condenses into tiny droplets, and the cold pool turns to fog. Climbing through it, you see nothing but grey.
  7. A sea of cloud. The warm layer above works like a lid, so the fog cannot rise through it. Summits higher than the lid break out into clear air and sunshine.
  8. The best hour on top. Low sun lights the cloud tops gold and the hills cast long shadows across them. Turn your back to the sun: your own shadow may land on the cloud inside a rainbow ring, a Brocken spectre.
  9. The sun gets to work. Sunlight warms the slopes and the ground beneath the fog. Rising thermals stir the air and start to break the lid.
  10. The inversion lifts. The cloud rises, thins and breaks apart, usually by late morning. Then it is an ordinary day again, until the next calm, clear night.

Cloud inversion or fog?

From the valley floor an inversion just looks like fog. The difference is what is above it: if the summit is higher than the top of the fog layer, you climb out of the grey into clear air. The chances here are for standing above the cloud from each summit.

New to inversions? Read what a cloud inversion is and how to catch one, or get an alert on your phone when your hills look likely with the Peakify cloud inversion app.

Out after dark too? See the aurora forecast for the UK and the astronomy calendar.

How the cloud inversion forecast for Wales works

What an inversion needs

Air gets colder as you climb. On a calm, clear night the ground loses heat, cold air drains into the valleys, and warmer air settles on top of it. If the valley air is damp enough, it condenses into fog, and the warm layer holds it down like a lid. Stand on a summit above that lid at dawn and you look across a flat sea of cloud.

How Peakify scores it

For each mountain, Peakify finds the lowest ground within 6 km of the summit, where fog would pool, and pulls an hourly forecast for the summit and that valley from Open-Meteo. It scores every hour from three hours before sunrise to two hours after and keeps the best.

Five ingredients build the score: a stable, layered atmosphere between about 750 m and 1,500 m, valley air close to saturation, dry air above the summit, overnight cooling in the valley, and a long night. Five checks then scale it: wind at summit height, overnight cloud, air pressure, wind in the valley, and the depth of the fog. Peakify estimates the fog top as the forecast boundary-layer height above the valley floor. Strong wind on the tops, or fog deeper than the summit is high, takes even a good setup close to zero.

How to read the table

The table ranks up to 40 peaks with a score from the last 36 hours, using today’s forecast. 70% and over is Excellent, 50 to 69% Good, and 30 to 49% Possible. Open a mountain for the full breakdown: the best hour, how long the inversion should last, which ingredients hold it back, a seven-day outlook and a confidence rating. Confidence is High when the ECMWF and Met Office models agree on a calm, clear valley at dawn, and Low when they disagree.

Limits

Read the percentage as a score of how well the ingredients line up. Forecast models work on grids 1 to 10 km across and can’t see into a narrow valley, so Peakify estimates the valley air from a coarser picture. Fog over a lake or in one side valley may not show. The table lists only peaks scored in the last 36 hours, so a quiet hill with a good setup can be missing until someone opens its page. And plan for the walk in: you’ll climb in the dark, through the fog, to reach the clear air.

Cloud inversion questions

Where in Wales has the best cloud inversion forecast today?

The table at the top of this page ranks summits in Wales by today's cloud inversion score, refreshed each morning from the latest forecast. Peaks that rise well above deep, sheltered valleys tend to score best, but the setup changes from day to day, so check again the evening before you go.

What is a cloud inversion?

A cloud inversion happens when a layer of warm air sits on top of cold, damp air in the valleys. Fog forms in the cold layer and can't rise through the warm one, so from a summit above it you look down on a flat sea of cloud.

When do cloud inversions happen in the UK?

Mostly in autumn and winter, on calm, clear nights under high pressure, often after a damp day. Long nights give the valleys more time to cool, and light winds let the cold air settle instead of mixing.

What time should I be on the summit?

Before sunrise. Peakify looks for the best hour between three hours before sunrise and two hours after, and each mountain page gives that time and the sunrise. Once the sun warms the valleys, the fog thins and lifts.

How high do I need to climb to see one?

Higher than the top of the fog. Peakify estimates the fog top from the forecast boundary-layer height above the lowest ground near the mountain and compares it with the summit. On a shallow fog morning a modest hill clears it. On a deep one, even a 900 m summit can stay in the murk.

How reliable is the cloud inversion forecast?

Use it as a guide and check again the evening before. Each mountain page shows a confidence rating: High when the ECMWF and Met Office models agree on whether the valley will be calm and clear at dawn, Low when they disagree.

Why isn't my mountain in the table?

The table ranks the 40 highest scores among peaks with a forecast from the last 36 hours. Peakify refreshes popular UK summits each morning and any other peak when someone opens its page, so open your mountain to score it.